Ukraine
State Building and Stability

The Forced Migration Projects of the Open Society Institute



By Justin Burke

O my thoughts, my heartfelt thoughts
My children, O my flowers
I have reared, watched over you-
Where to send you now?
Go then to Ukraine, my children


- Taras Shevchenko

Preface

Societies in transition can present unique threats to international peace and security. New successor states riven with social and economic crisis are inherently unstable and can descend into political chaos and ethnic conflict, of which one manifestation is forced migration. Misery and insecurity can spread across borders with dire consequences, placing a premium on international approaches to prevent such outcomes.
The collapse of the Soviet Union at the outset of this decade was followed by circumstances-conflict and societal disequalibrium-that dislocated ap-proximately 9 million people. Additional crises seem tragically likely over the next decade, indicating the need for more concerted efforts and preventive approaches. This is so even in places like Ukraine, where the prospect for confrontation currently seems remote. The last decade has demonstrated that stability can be illusory and quickly lost in the dynamics of societal transition.
Ukraine is a multiethnic society. Minority groups include Belarussians, Bulgarians, Crimean Tatars, Hungarians, Jews, Poles, Romanians/Moldovans, and Russians. Ethnic tensions exist which political leaders have the responsibility to manage humanely with appropriate international assistance.
In this connection, Ukraine has an emerging legal policy framework calculated to deal with issues of minority rights. The Ukrainian Declaration of State Sovereignty provides that citizens of all nationalities comprise Ukrainians; that the state ensures equality "before the law" for all citizens regardless of national or racial identity; and that the state guarantees all nationalities residing in Ukraine the right to free development of their culture. Ukraine also adopted a Law on National Minorities in June 1992, and in September 1995 it was the first country in the former Soviet Union to join the European Framework Convention for the Protection of National Minorities. But a deficit in the rule of law renders this framework weak and in need of sustained international attention to promote respect for human rights, including for national and other minorities.
This is the last of a series of special reports by the Forced Migration Projects designed to encourage international action to address the causes and consequences of forced displacement in the former Soviet Union. This report discusses the context of national identity formation in Ukraine and examines key elements of state building in terms of language policy and education. Attention is given to the role of the media. The situation in eastern Ukraine, with it concentration of ethnic Russians is discussed in particular, as are interethnic tensions in Crimea. Recommendations are made to fashion preventive approaches.
The author of this report is Justin Burke, Editorial Manager of the Forced Migration Projects, who traveled to Ukraine from September 27 to October 16, 1998, visiting Dniepropetrovsk, Donetsk, Kharkiv, Kyiv, Lviv, Simferopol, Uzhgorod and Zaparozhye. He interviewed dozens of national and regional government officials, representatives of civic and nongovernmental organizations, academics and experts, as well as ordinary citizens (a list of those interviewed is attached as an appendix). He was accompanied by photographer Jeremy Sutton-Hibbert.
We wish to acknowledge Sergei Kuzmin for his editorial assistance. Editorial advice by Igor Torbakov, a Kyiv-based scholar, is also appreciated. In addition, the International Renaissance Foundation provided key logistical support for the mission of inquiry. We hope this report will contribute to understanding and ameliorating the risks of forced migration in Ukraine.

Arthur C. Helton
Director, Forced Migration Projects
August 1999


Introduction
Chapter 1
Chapter 2
Chapter 3
 

Introduction

Ukraine is a country still searching for an independent identity. So far, it has not succeeded in developing a state-building blueprint able to harmonize incongruous points of view. Indeed, throughout the post-Soviet era, disparate cultural and political traditions have pulled the country in opposite directions, undermining efforts to forge a cohesive and prosperous state. The tumult of independence has disillusioned some citizens and left others feeling alienated. Pervasive popular disappointment only complicates fresh attempts to forge consensus on development. And as Ukraine ponders sovereignty in the new millennium, state-building challenges are growing increasingly complex, primarily because opinions appear to be hardening on key issues.
State-building differences are broadly aligned with Ukraine's prevailing geographic/demographic divisions. Ethnic Russians, as well as Russified Ukrainians, dominate the industrialized eastern regions. Meanwhile, ethnic Ukrainians comprise a significant majority in the western areas of the country. Kyiv, the capital, is caught in the middle, and is the principle battleground for the competing agendas. Ethnic Ukrainians currently control national political and educational institutions, and therefore have the upper hand in state-building activities. But ethnic Russians in the eastern regions, especially in Dniepropetrovsk, have significant influence over the country's financial infrastructure, and thus are a voice that cannot be ignored in the state-building endeavor.
As in other newly independent states, linguistic and educational policies have served as frequent sources of controversy in Ukraine. The Soviet Union crumbled in 1991 amidst an avalanche of cultural-revival aspirations expressed by titular nationalities in the empire's constituent republics. In Ukraine's case, the post-1991 political leadership sought to upend the old Soviet order, and re-establish a distinct Ukrainian cultural identity, creating the foundation for state building. Ukrainian eclipsed Russian as the state language, even though a large percentage, perhaps even a majority, of the population did not have good command of the language. In a corresponding fashion, educational policy took on a more Ukrainian character.
Linguistic and educational policies that aim to promote a Ukrainian cultural revival have succeeded only in fueling discontent among the country's Russian minority. Ethnic Russians characterize post-Soviet order as the forced "Ukrainiazation" of the entire country, including the traditionally Russia-oriented east. Ukrainian nationalists in the west are dismissive of such complaints, pointing to the nation's historical experience of more than three centuries of domination by neighboring Russia. They say existing policies are intended to promote a distinct state identity, and deny claims that they are discriminatory.
The outcome of ongoing debates in Ukraine has important implications not only for the country's future, but also for Europe. Ukraine is the largest of the post-Soviet countries after Russia, and it can potentially act as a lynchpin in the development of all former Soviet republics. In addition, Ukraine figures greatly in the political and economic evolution of Central Europe as a region. A stable, prosperous and inclusive society in Ukraine would radiate security to all its neighbors.
Given existing difficulties, Ukraine's ability to fulfill its potential as a stabilizing regional influence will require a considerable consensus-building effort. Internal development will have to be well managed and inclusive. However, existing state-building moulds have revealed defects. Current policies should be reexamined and perhaps be modified before opinions solidify and lose all traces of flexibility. A reluctance to re-examine current policies might invite confrontation. Recent history is replete with unlikely outcomes, and while the prospect of upheaval in Ukraine might seem remote, a prudent approach is warranted.


Chapter One
The Context

Background

Ukraine is a unitary state in its political character, but it does not possess a monolithic ethnic identity. The country is a presidential republic with decision-making power concentrated in Kyiv. Officials in Ukraine's 24 administrative regions, or oblasts, act more as implementers than as architects of policy. Crimea is the only region that enjoys limited autonomy, having its own constitution and legislature, both acting within a constricted framework established by national authorities. Ukraine's overall population of just more than 50 million is comprised of roughly 73 percent ethnic Ukrainians and about 22 percent ethnic Russians, while other nationalities, such as the 260,000-strong Crimean Tatar community, comprising the remainder.
An important anomaly occurs in language use, however. Russian is the native tongue of roughly 55 percent of the country's inhabitants. That would indicate that about 42 percent of ethnic Ukrainians are Russian speakers. In general terms, Ukrainian is widely used in Western Ukraine, while eastern Ukraine is a bastion of Russian language use. Rural residents have a greater tendency to be Ukrainian speakers, while Russian speakers predominate in urban areas. According to Vladimir Malenkovich, a Kyiv-based political scientist, language usage in the capital is about 70 percent Russian and 30 percent Ukrainian.
Ethnic Russians have always been part of Ukraine's demographic landscape, settling centuries ago in the then-largely uninhabited steppe and the Donbas coal region. "Russians in Ukraine are not newcomers," said Andrei Veselovsky, a Ukrainian Foreign Ministry official. Representatives of the Russian community assert that Russians and the Russian language are deserving of recognition as being indigenous to Ukraine. "There are entire regions that are essentially Russian in character, where Ukrainians were never in the majority," said Grigory Popov, a member of the Supreme Rada, or Ukrainian Parliament, representing a constituency in the southeastern city of Donetsk.
Ukrainian and Russian are both Slavic languages with enough commonality that it is possible for a Russian speaker to be understood by a Ukrainian and vice versa. But according to Viktor Brytsyn, the deputy director of the Department of Socio-Language Issues at the Kyiv Institute for Language, Ukrainian and Russian are "two very distinct languages with different intonations and characteristics. Ukrainian differs from Russian just as much as Polish differs from Russian."
The tangle of two languages and demographics underscore the intricacies of Ukrainian state building. The country's historical relationship with Russia compounds the complexities. What is now territorially the heart of Ukrainian statehood, Kyiv, served centuries ago as the cradle of Russian culture. Kievan Rus was the first Slavic empire to flourish, acting as one of the world's major powers between the 9th and 13th centuries. The Russian Empire, and by extension the Soviet Union, can be considered the historical progeny of Kievan Rus.
As far as modern Ukraine is concerned, the nation is a novice at statehood. Prior to independence 1991, Russia governed Ukraine for almost three and a half centuries. During this period, Russian tsars and Soviet general secretaries acted to repress a separate Ukrainian cultural identity. Ukrainians were subjected to intense Russification policies. And Russians came to view Ukrainians as "little brothers." Vsevolod Tkachenko, head of the Department of National Minorities of the Ukrainian Foreign Ministry, said: "Ukraine was treated as nothing more than a colony of the Russian Empire."
Two key regions in present day Ukraine, however, are general exceptions to the Russification rule in Ukraine. One is the Crimean peninsula, which was captured from Turkey in the late 18th century and remained under Moscow's control. After World War II, Soviet authorities resettled the peninsula primarily with ethnic Russians. During the Soviet era, the Crimea was territorially part of Russia until transferred to Ukrainian jurisdiction in 1954, in honor of Ukraine's 300th anniversary of incorporation into the Russian Empire. The other exception is area now comprising the western Ukrainian provinces, which were historically part of the Austro-Hungarian Empire, and thus did not feel the full force of Russification. Soviet influence in western Ukraine extends back only to the aftermath of World War II.
Ukraine dallied with independence on several occasions, straining the Kyiv-Moscow relationship. The first occurred in 1918, amidst the disintegration of the Russian Empire, and set against the backdrop of the First World War. Ukrainian independence proved too fragile to survive long; the fledgling state successfully withstood German and Polish subjugation attempts only to finally succumb to the Bolshevik Red Army in 1921. Freedom fighters were also active during World War II. Various Ukrainian nationalist factions fought both Nazis and Communists in the ill-fated bid for independence.
The hostility generated by recent history continues to color perceptions in Ukraine today. Valery Meshcheriakov, the vice-governor of the Kharkiv region, asserted that the country has yet to recover fully from its World War II experience. "What went on during the war was effectively a civil war within a larger war," Meshcheriakov said. "Civil wars whip up deep feelings of antagonism, causing wounds that take a very long time to heal. Indeed, how long did it take the United States to recover fully from its civil war?"
Ukrainian officials confirm that past experience influences the present. "We are a country blessed with good land, some of the best black earth in the world. Unfortunately, we were not blessed with good neighbors," said the Ukrainian Foreign Ministry's Tkachenko, referring to Russia. "Our neighbors have always envied us."
Ukrainian sensitivities are heightened by the country's continued economic dependence on Russia. Initial euphoria in 1991 greeted the re-establishment of independence. Both ethnic Ukrainians and Russians strongly supported independence, according to the results of a 1991 referendum. In subsequent years, though, economic hardships have fostered a profound sense of disillusionment. Now Ukrainian sovereignty is most associated with a dramatic decline of living standards. "An independent Ukraine has brought us only hunger, cold, and poverty," said Vladimir Rashevsky, the chief agronomist on the Kirovsky Farm outside of Dniepropetrovsk.
Some Russian-community advocates assert that many Russians now regret their initial support for Ukrainian statehood. "It is a fact that many Russians supported independence," said Malenkovich, the political scientist. "They hoped that they would be able to enjoy better living standards than in Russia.
"But at the same time, people [especially ethnic Russians] did not understand entirely the concept of independence," Malenkovich continued. "Everyone in the former Soviet Union is used to automatically saying yes to whatever question that was put to them by officials. They are afraid to say no."

Ukraine-Russia Relations

Since 1991, Ukraine's efforts to establish an independent profile in the international arena have concentrated on breaking free of Russia's gravitational pull. Russia has not welcomed Kyiv's desire to become an independent geopolitical actor, and has persistently pressured Ukraine to retain its orientation towards the former Soviet states.
The current Ukrainian leadership has made no secret of its desire to distance its country from Russia. Now that Ukrainian nationalists have at long last realized their ambition of independence, their greatest single concern is perhaps geopolitical abandonment by the West. Foreign Minister Boris Tarasyuk has repeatedly stressed that a top priority for Ukraine is integration into Western European and "Euro-Atlantic" structures, in particular the European Union. "Ukraine is an inseparable part of the European community," Tarasyuk said during a visit to the United States in April 1998. "We do not consider ourselves as belonging to Eurasia. We believe ourselves to belong to Central and Eastern Europe."
Tarasyuk and other officials have also stated that Ukraine desires to maintain friendly relations with Russia. Nevertheless, since 1991 Ukraine has significantly strengthened ties with neighboring Poland, which has had an historically antagonistic relationship with Russia. The Ukrainian-Polish relationship is useful for both states. Ukraine provides Poland with a buffer from Russia, while Kyiv can utilize Warsaw as a corridor for European integration. "We are able to find common ground with Poland," said Tkachenko, the Foreign Ministry department head. The two countries maintain a relatively open border. "Ukraine needs this as a balance [to Russia]," said Ihor Ostash, an MP who sits on the parliamentary Committee for Foreign Affairs. It is important for Ukraine to have windows, or even a door, to the West, and Poland is therefore an important state."
Although Kyiv's intentions are clear, the country's capacity to act independently of Moscow is limited, due in large part to Ukraine's economic dependency on Russia. For example, Ukraine relies on Russia for nearly all of its natural gas and oil supplies. In addition, 38 percent of Ukraine's foreign trade is with Russia, according to official Ukrainian statistics. Ukrainian officials chaffed under the constraints imposed by its economic relationship with Russia. "It is no secret that we are considerably dependent on Russia," Tarasyuk said. "That is why we are trying to create alternate [energy] routes."
Russia, utilizing its economic and political leverage, has consistently moved diplomatically to restrain Ukraine's centrifugal impulses. Moscow has at times been blatant in its attempts to bully Ukraine into joining the so-called Slavic union, an amorphous arrangement that presently binds Belarus to Russia. From the standpoint of national security, Russia has been loath to let Ukraine escape its sphere of influence, as it considers Kyiv to be an important barrier against Western incursion. From the cultural point of view, Russian officials do not seem to share the opinion about the clear distinction between Russian and Ukrainian cultural traditions.
In formulating its views, Moscow could draw on the support of a significant element of the Russian community in Ukraine. "We think Russians and Ukrainians are essentially the same ethnos and there is no reason to differentiate among them," said Aleksander Basilyuk, the head of the Congress of Russian Organizations in Ukraine. "The state-building process in Ukraine consists of pure mythification. The Ukrainian state per se never existed [before 1991]."
Ukrainian leaders bristle over what they perceived as Moscow's disdain for Ukrainian independence. Prominent Russian political figures, including presidential aspirants Yuri Luzhkov and Alexander Lebed, have repeatedly called into question the legitimacy of Ukrainian control of the Crimean peninsula, especially the Black Sea Fleet base at Sevastopol. Luzhkov and others have also impugned the constitutionality of a friendship treaty between Ukraine and Russia, suggesting the pact improperly recognizes Kyiv's sovereignty over Crimea. "It is a fact that Ukraine is independent, and they [Russian officials] must take this into account," Tkachenko said. "The old mentality remains and this sometimes creates problems.… It is sometimes difficult for them [Russians] to appreciate the national desires of Ukrainians."
Several top officials vowed that Ukraine would never join in any formal political organization of Slavic states, and would vigorously resist Russia's "older brother" behavior. "As long as [Ukraine's] economic situation is in such disarray, they [Russian officials] will always regard us as little brothers," said Les Taniuk, an MP representing the Rukh nationalist movement.
Taniuk and others said Ukraine is in a vulnerable position vis-à-vis Russia. Their chief concern is that Ukraine could become embroiled in Russia's domestic upheaval, brought on by the economic collapse of August 1998, combined with the uncertainty hovering over the succession to President Boris Yeltsin. "Where there is internal trouble [as in Russia], there exists the desire to find external enemies," Taniuk said. "What occurs in Moscow, of course influences Ukraine's internal developments.
"What emanates now from Russia can only be described as cultural mediocrity," Taniuk continued. "To a certain extent, Ukraine is trying to defend itself against this cultural degradation."
At the dawn of the 21st century Ukraine finds it increasingly difficult to keep its westward options open. One quandary confronting Kyiv is the issue of the Ukrainian-Russian border. In 1999, a chain of circumstances placed pressure on Ukrainian officials to tighten controls at the Russian border.
The source of the Ukrainian dilemma is indirectly related to the European Union (EU) push to incorporate formerly communist states in Central Europe. Given the EU's liberalized regime on internal movement and trade, member states are required to tightly control external borders in order to combat unauthorized migration and trafficking. Aspiring member states in Central Europe, including Poland, therefore have to demonstrate that their border procedures meet EU standards before their membership bids could be acted upon. At the same time, Poland is intent on maintaining its loose border regime with Ukraine, but to do so requires Ukraine's cooperation. Poland requires that Ukraine's frontier with Russia be effectively sealed and well-regulated.
How Ukraine finesses the border issue perhaps will play a vital role in its development. Ukrainian officials have expressed a desire to comply with Polish conditions, but it is unclear whether Kyiv could implement the necessary changes. For one, Ukraine lacks the money to finance border-control improvements. It is also debatable whether Ukrainian Foreign Ministry officials possess the political clout to realize their vision. "We want to control the border [with Russia]. But that does not mean we must have a border with barbed wire," Tarasyuk said. "We need a modern border that will help reduce illegal migration, as well as drug trafficking and arms trafficking." Upgrading Ukraine's border with Russia would surely draw Moscow's full wrath, as well as stir internal discontent by alienating and aggravating the Russian community in Ukraine. The high costs involved may make the border issue a political non-starter in the legislature.

Economic Woes

Ukraine's economy in 1999 remained in horrendous condition, constrained by outdated infrastructure and inefficient management. There are few reasons to hope that a significant economic upturn could occur in the foreseeable future. Amidst this fetid economic atmosphere, social discontent has festered since Ukraine's declaration of independence. Economic woes, and their ancillary social consequences, have thus greatly compounded state-building difficulties.
"As long as our economic situation remains difficult, Russia will persist in regarding us as 'little brothers,'" said MP Les Taniuk.
The depression also hinders efforts to forge a united, bilingual political community. Political scientists speculate that Russian speakers would be more amenable to learning Ukrainian if economic conditions were more favorable. "The economy is the top concern of most people," said Yaroslav Pylynskyj. "Under the current conditions, people are forced to be self-reliant and the matter of survival occupies their attention."
On the surface, Ukraine appears to be muddling along with economic reforms. Government targets in 1999 aimed to achieve modest economic growth with relatively low inflation. Underlying factors, however, reveal Ukraine's economic landscape to be, for the most part, fallow.
Privatization, the chief vehicle for reform, has sputtered. Statistics covering the first half of 1998 indicate that privatization revenue reached only about 50 percent of projected levels. Political wrangling exacerbated the challenges, as Ukraine's legislative and executive branch wrestled for primacy over the privatization process. For example, Parliament rejected in February 1999 a proposal to privatize 455 large- and medium-scale enterprises, along with 5,500 smaller firms. President Leonid Kuchma vowed to press on, however, striving to realize his privatization goals via the use of presidential fiat. In addition to the privatization fiasco, the country suffers from frequent and debilitating power outages. Rural areas were particularly hard hit, causing significant disruption to agricultural production. The crisis forced Kuchma to sack Energy Minister Oleksiy Shebertstov in February.
The average monthly wage in 1999 was estimated at about $90. However, large numbers of workers, in both industrial and agricultural state sectors, suffered long delays in salary payments. Wage arrears of more than several months is not an uncommon phenomenon. Payment delays prompted large protests, especially among workers in the coal-mining sector. In early 1999, employees of at least 78 Ukrainian mines threatened to initiate mass acts of civil disobedience if the government did not address the wage arrears issue.
Financially, the country is in desperate shape. Ukraine's hard currency reserves in early 1999 stood at $685.5 million, marking more than a 20 percent decline in only a one-month period. In early 1998, Ukraine had hard currency reserves of more than $2.3 billion. The cash crunch is fueled in part by pervasive tax evasion. Officials estimate that taxpayers owe the state more than $3 billion. The cash crunch forced authorities to effectively devalue the Ukrainian currency, the hryvna, by allowing the trading band to slip to between 3.4 hryvna and 4.6 hrivna to one U.S. dollar. To a certain extent, Ukraine's financial turmoil is a byproduct of Russia's banking-sector meltdown in the second half of 1998. For instance, the currency crisis in Moscow forced Ukraine's National Bank to sell much of its hard currency reserves during the second half of 1998 to support the embattled hryvna. "Russia's crisis has an indirect impact on the situation in our country," Tarasyuk said.


Chapter Two
The Materials for State Building

Language Policy

The touchstone of controversy in independent Ukraine has been language-related legislation and normative acts, including laws that have impacted education and the media. Unlike in other states that emerged out of the former Soviet Union-in particular the Baltic republics of Estonia and Latvia-citizenship issues have not been a source of discontent in Ukraine. All legal residents at the time of independence had the ability to obtain Ukrainian citizenship.
Language, education, and media laws have prompted considerable debate in part because they represent a substantial departure from the status quo. Before 1991, when Ukraine was a union republic, the Russian language predominated at all levels-in government, public life, and the educational sphere. The Soviet collapse produced linguistic upheaval. Post-1991 legislation terminated the primacy of Russian and promoted a renaissance of Ukrainian. However, the law would appear to leave plenty of leeway for the use of Russian in everyday life.
Ukraine's constitution recognizes the multiethnic character of the state, while establishing Ukrainian as the sole state language. This means all official communications and interaction with government officials, both oral and written, should be in Ukrainian. Laws are also designed to promote greater use of Ukrainian in education and the mass media. Dual citizenship is prohibited under the constitution. The specific rights of ethnic minorities-concerning language, education and cultural issues-are outlined in various laws.
The Law on National Minorities outlines the rights and responsibilities of the Russian community in Ukraine. Article 1 underscores the right of free cultural expression, stating: "Ukraine guarantees equal, political, social, economic, and cultural rights and freedoms to citizens of the republic, regardless of their national background, and supports the development of self-consciousness and self expression."
The law goes on to say that all national minorities, including Russians, have access to "national cultural autonomy." The term is vague in granting ethnic minorities the right to "the use of their native language," "development of national cultural traditions," and "free expression of religious faith."
Perhaps the key to the Law on National Minorities is found in Article 8, which holds out the possibility for the recognition of Russian as a quasi-state language in some regions. Article 8 states: "In the work of the state organs, community associations, and [business] enterprises, institutions and organizations that are located in areas where the majority of the population is composed of an ethnic minority, the language of said national minority can be used in addition to the state language." The majority standard for ethnic minorities is important because few regions, even in eastern Ukraine, are home to a majority of ethnic Russians, even though they may contain an overwhelming number of Russian speakers. Just about the only region in which Russians comprise a clear majority is the Crimea.
Additional laws govern the role of Russian language and culture in Ukraine. For example, Article 3 of the Declaration of the Rights of National Minorities, which was adopted in November, 1991, states: "The Ukrainian state guarantees all the peoples and national groups the right of free usage of their native language in all spheres of social life, including education, commerce, and the receiving and distribution of information." The declaration goes on to explicitly recognize that citizens enjoy the "right of free usage of the Russian language."
Meanwhile, Article 3 of the General Regulations on the Law of Culture is clear that the state's top priority is "to assist development of Ukrainian culture, as well as the cultures of national minorities." Article 8, in guaranteeing equal rights for national minorities in the sphere of culture, states that all citizens, regardless of nationality, have the right to "preserve, develop, and propagandize their culture, language, traditions, customs, and rites, and to establish national and cultural associations."
In the realm of mass media and information, the General Principles of Ukraine's Law on Television and Radio established Ukrainian to be the primary language of broadcast transmission, while providing for the use of national minority languages. Article 9 states "Transmission in certain regions can be conducted also in the languages of national minorities that are settled compactly within the region."

The Motivation Behind Legislation

Ukrainian officials defend the current legislative framework, saying it is designed to guarantee the survival of Ukrainian culture, which many tend to equate with independence. There is widespread concern in official circles, and among the ethnic Ukrainian intelligentsia, that Ukrainian traditions remain endangered by Russian cultural hegemony. "Some 350 years of Russification left the Ukrainian language in a precarious position," said Tetiana Klinchenko of the Institute for Political and Sociological Studies in Kyiv. "Russia would like everyone to believe that Ukraine was being integrated naturally, but this was not the case. They [Russians] resorted to forceful integration measures."
Perhaps the greatest worry among those in intellectual and government circles is that Ukraine might follow the example of Belarus, where separate cultural traditions have been overwhelmed by Russian. As a result, the Belarussian language has become virtually extinct. Belarussian statehood also seemed tenuous. "Ukrainians never had their own state before…and people feel that if they lose their language, then they will lose their independence," Klinchenko. "We want to avoid the example set by Belarus."
Officials insist that their attitudes are based on the recognition that Ukraine is not ethnically homogenous. "We cannot ignore the polyethnic character of the state," said Tkachenko, the Foreign Ministry official responsible for national minority affairs. "The state has an obligation to provide conditions that allow them [Russians] to preserve their cultural heritage. But we must not forget that they [Russians] comprise a national minority within the Ukrainian state." Les Taniuk, the MP representing the Rukh nationalist movement, said the overwhelming majority of Ukrainians are tolerant of Russians and Russian cultural influences. "Ukraine for Ukrainians is a concept that appeals to only a very small sector of society," he said.
The chief intent of the laws, officials and intellectuals said, is not to promote the "Ukrainiazation" of ethnic Russians, but to help Russian-speaking Ukrainians re-discover their roots. Viktor Boiko, a writer and the deputy director of the Kharkiv branch of the Ukrainian Culture Fund, described ethnic Ukrainians as deeply divided. Those living in western Ukraine, Boiko said, tend to speak Ukrainian and are better acquainted with their cultural heritage. However, millions of ethnic Ukrainians, living primarily in eastern Ukraine, had lost touch with traditions, Boiko said. He described these Ukrainians as "little Russians," whose cultural orientation is aligned towards Moscow, not Kyiv. "These people are thoroughly Russified. They cannot speak Ukrainian," he said.
In the view of some officials and intellectuals, ultimate success in preserving a separate Ukrainian identity against Russian cultural domination hinges on reorienting the "little Russian" Ukrainians. Language usage perhaps serves as the best gauge of cultural orientation, and thus is an important concern to many officials. "The ideal situation would be one in which the use of language corresponded to the demographics," said Mykola Abrayimov, head of the Department of Nationality Affairs and Migration of the Dniepropetrovsk Regional Administration. Dniepropetrovsk is an industrial city in eastern Ukraine with a population that is technically 72 percent ethnic Ukrainian, but where the Russian language dominates.
Abrayimov and others stressed that change must occur gradually. "This is a long-term process. The language issue is something that could produce conflict, so we cannot be in a hurry," Abrayimov said. "Certain bureaucrats can be overzealous. But, in general, the state is moving in the right direction."
An ancillary purpose of the laws is to promote bilingualism among ethnic Russians in eastern Ukraine. The situation in 1999 was such that someone speaking Ukrainian in the eastern part of the country, or in the Crimea, could not expect to be answered in Ukrainian. "It is not convenient to speak Ukrainian in some parts Ukraine," Boiko said. "Many do not have the ability to speak Ukrainian." Expanding the reach of the state language would require patient and persistent action, some officials said. "We must be constantly vigilant," Tkachenko said.

The Russian Reaction

Ethnic Russians generally have reacted with suspicion and hostility to changes in language, education, and media laws. Many leading representatives of the Russian community in Ukraine portray the legal framework as discriminatory. Others describe language laws as a collective act of revenge, destined to do more harm than good to state-building efforts.
"Ukrainians are trying to do to Russians what Russians attempted to do to Ukrainians during the Soviet era," said Malenkovich the Kyiv-based political scientist. "Everyone must remember, however, that two wrongs do not make one right."
Dmitry Kornilov, a newspaper editor in the coal-mining center of Donetsk, asserted that the government's language policy is indicative of widespread human rights abuses suffered by Russians in eastern Ukraine. "Language legislation is tantamount to the humiliation of our social dignity."
A few said the current government policy made no sense on a practical level. "It makes no sense when virtually an entire city is populated by Russian speakers, but when the people must deal with authorities they must speak in Ukrainian," said Arnold Guggel a political scientist from Kharkiv. "The very idea of having a state language is anti-democratic."
Many Russians have difficulty defining precisely how the law constitutes discrimination. They tend to express concern over potential future rights abuses rather than cite specific present-day violations. "There may be a situation where people may be fined for using Russian," said Vladimir Alekseev, a Russian member of Parliament representing Kharkiv. "People should be allowed to make up their own mind."
Vil Bekirov, a political scientist at Kharkiv State University, intimated that the lightning-quick pace of change is responsible for fostering a notion among Russians that they have been reduced to second-class citizens. "Although Russians can freely speak in their native tongue, they nevertheless feel uncomfortable," Bekirov said. "Ukrainian is emphasized to the extent that those who do not speak it feel, in some way, deprived. It has developed into a source of discomfort."
Russian-community leaders assail the official orthodoxy, suggesting that Ukrainian expressions of concern over cultural survival are insincere. Language policies, according to Russian leaders, are instruments designed specifically to provide Ukrainians with political advantages in the state-building process. The constitutional recognition of only one state language-Ukrainian-effectively shuts large numbers of Russians out of the political process, they said.
"Incumbent authorities [in the central government] are merely seeking to utilize language in defending themselves against challenges to their power," Alekseev said. "Existing attitudes are a reflection that the concept of civil society is not well developed. Authorities are more interested in defending their own interests than in defending civil rights in general. They have moved away from ideology and embraced ethnic politics."
Several leaders of the Russian community portray Ukraine as standing at an important crossroads in the state-building process, in which the language issue could emerge as a source of confrontation or help promote stability. The continuation of existing language-related policies is fraught with possible harmful consequences, Russians suggest. "The path that we are on strengthens the conditions for confrontation," Alekseev said.
"Our society here [in Ukraine] vis-à-vis language is a situation such as that in Canada or Belgium, which are essentially bilingual states," Alekseev said. Political developments must correspond to the nature of society, he added. Ukraine could follow one of three possible state-building models; Czechoslovakia, which amicably split into two countries; Canada and Belgium, which both have constitutional arrangements that reflect the bilingual nature of those states; or Bosnia and Herzegovina, which represents the inability of different ethnic groups to reconcile differences. "We must assure that the Canadian/Belgian variant is pursued," Alekseev said.
For Ukraine to get back on track towards realization of the Canada/Belgian variant, Russian-community leaders are unanimous in calling for the recognition of the Russian language as an official state language. "Russian must be recognized as a state language for the consolidation of Ukraine as a state to occur," said Grigory Popov, the MP from Donetsk. "In regions where the majority are Russian speakers, the recognition of Russian [as a state language] would solve many problems.… Of course, in these regions, it is important that all those wishing to study Ukrainian have the opportunity to do so."

Ukrainian Rebuttal

Most Ukrainian decision-makers and opinion-shapers are resolutely opposed to recognition of Russian as a state language. They reason that sufficient safeguards are already in place to protect the Russian language. In addition, they point out that most members of the Ukrainian community are conversant in Russian, due to the Soviet-era Russification policies. They add that bilingualism as defined by Russian-community leaders implies that there would be no need to learn Ukrainian.
"Some Russians are merely looking for an excuse not to learn Ukrainian," Boiko said. "If one is a citizen, one should fulfill certain responsibilities, including acquiring at least some knowledge of the state language. Recognition of Russian would provide Russians with an easy exit from assuming their responsibilities.
"When they were in the dominant position they expected to be treated in a certain way," Boiko continued. "Now that they are no longer in charge they nonetheless still expect to retain their privileged position."
Ukrainian leaders categorically dismiss the Russian assertion that language-related laws are discriminatory. Many Ukrainians say such criticism is the product of frustration generated by current economic circumstances. "Claims of discrimination are derived from nostalgia - the way Russians see their current situation compared with the past," said Viktor Brytsyn, of the Kyiv Institute for Languages. "Of course, Russians face a worse situation now than they did 10 years ago. But everyone does. Thus, you cannot describe this as discrimination. This is purely a matter of psychological readjustment."
"Those that do not know the [Ukrainian] language are disoriented by the changes and want to return to the past," said Maria Oleinik, the head of the Taras Shevchenko Ukrainian Cultural Organization branch office in Donetsk. "Many people are oriented towards the old Soviet Union. In the old days everything was familiar and stable, and people felt comfortable. Now, there is no way to predict the future. Russian [language] is seen by these Soviet-oriented people as a link to that past."
A few interpret calls for the recognition of Russian as a sign of disloyalty to Ukrainian independence. "The use of Russian can be considered a sign of disrespect for the state," Klinchenko said.

Implementation of Legislation

On the practical level, language laws have had little visible impact on daily life for Russian speakers in Ukraine. Kyiv's reach appears limited in scope. Legislation exists mainly on paper, and is not being implemented in practice. Especially in eastern Ukraine, the Russian language remains deeply entrenched as the language of commerce and of entertainment. The predominance of Russian on the streets of most major Ukrainian cities, with the exception of Lviv, undermines Russian claims of discrimination. "It is impossible to describe the legislative process in the country as 'Ukrainianization' if for no other reason other than nobody is fulfilling the [language] laws," said MP Les Taniuk.
Past experience presents formidable obstacles to the implementation of legislation. The fickle nature of tsarist-era absolutism, coupled with the arbitrariness of the Soviet system, takes a toll on the rule of law in contemporary Ukrainian society. "Disrespect for the law is almost a national tradition," said Klinchenko. "In the eyes of many people, the government is the enemy. This is an impression that extends back even before the Soviet times. It is such that avoiding the payment of taxes is considered the norm. People are used to living with a double standard."

Changes in Education

Just because laws have not functioned as intended does not mean that there have not been considerable changes in several important spheres, in particular education. The government has moved vigorously to expand programs that promote Ukrainian-language learning. "The battle for schools is the battle for the future," said Klinchenko.
During the Soviet era, citizens had the ability to obtain education in either Ukrainian or Russian. However, the emphasis was plainly on Russian. Most Ukrainian language schools were found in rural agricultural regions. Access to Ukrainian schools was limited in most large cities, especially in eastern regions of the then-Soviet republic, in part because a Ukrainian-language education was widely perceived as a handicap in the search for career opportunities.
Since independence, a significant shift in emphasis has occurred away from Russian towards Ukrainian. Correspondingly, officials have been reorienting schools, with Ukrainian replacing Russian as the primary language of instruction. In the sphere of higher education, meanwhile, a similar process has been underway. University professors, who once taught mostly in Russian, are now expected to deliver their lectures in Ukrainian.
Despite the new emphasis on Ukrainian as the preferred language of instruction, Education Ministry officials stress that a Russian-language grade-school education is widely available for those who want it. "Being that Russians account for about one-fifth of the population, it is in everyone's best interest that they feel comfortable," said Viktor Ognevjuk, the head of the Department of Secondary Education of the Ukrainian Ministry of Education. "They [Russians] should also understand that during Soviet times all Ukrainians were forced to speak and learn Russian.
"Perhaps a Russian-language education is not as accessible as it was in the past, but it is available. Whereas a Russian school might have been around the corner, now it may be a bit farther away," Ognevjuk continued. "You in no way can describe the education policies as discriminatory, or as 'Ukrainianization.' We spend a considerable amount of scarce resources on Russian language instruction.… If anything, it is still possible for Ukrainians to claim discrimination in some parts of our country. In Crimea, for example, it remains extremely difficult for Ukrainians to obtain study in their native language."
Ognevjuk offered some statistics to support his assertions. Of the country's approximately 6.8 million students, roughly 2.5 million, or 36 percent, received a primarily Russian-language education in 1999. Approximately 23 percent of Ukraine's 21,300 schools offered instruction primarily in Russian language or were dual-language in orientation, he said.
Reorienting the education system presents ongoing difficulties, Ognevjuk adds, with most problems related to the government's financial constraints. Schools are experiencing shortages of equipment and teaching materials, including Ukrainian-language textbooks. Nevertheless, increasing numbers of Russian-speaking parents are sending their children to Ukrainian schools. "Parents understand the situation. They want to ensure that their children have the widest possible number of career paths open to them, including the public sector," he said.
In general the curriculum does not vary drastically between Ukrainian and Russian schools. Students in Ukrainian schools receive several hours of Russian language instruction per week, and vice versa. One significant difference in the curricula concerned the teaching of Russian literature. More specifically, in Ukrainian schools students studied Russian literature within the context of the general survey of foreign literature. In Russian schools, Russian literature is offered as a separate subject.
Some leaders of the Russian community portray educational policy as a calamitous development for the preservation of Russian culture in Ukraine. "What they are doing with schools can be described as illegal," said Alekseev. "It should be up to the people in the local communities to decide [on educational policy], but the center [Kyiv] makes all the decisions itself."
Russian-speaking students suffer from a dramatic decline in teaching standards, Russian leaders argue. Several allege that Ukrainian schools are better equipped than Russian schools. Others complain about the diminished stature of Russian literature in the Ukrainian schools. "Ukrainianization is not working, but it nonetheless has a bad impact," said Malenkovich, the Kyiv-based political scientist. "Children are not exposed enough to Russian in order to write it well. Indeed it is turning out that students are coming out of school without being able to write well in either Russian or Ukrainian. Also, they are not studying our great masters - Tolstoy and Pushkin - as much as they should. As a result, they are losing something."
At the university level, students appear to adapt to language reorientation faster than professors. "We are in Ukraine and Ukrainian is the state language. To oppose instruction in Ukrainian does not make sense," said Nikolai Karenko, a fifth-year student at Donetsk State University.
Meanwhile, language has fueled a fierce debate among academics. Many professors complain that the pace of change is too fast. Some have resisted teaching in Ukrainian in large part because they do not have good command of the language. "We are just not ready for it. If one is going to lecture in Ukrainian, it is necessary for that person to be able to think in Ukrainian, but many professors think in Russian and so this presents difficulties. Some students ask us to speak in Russian. All the same we must all translate it," said Igor Menshikov, the head of the Philology Department at Dniepropetrovsk State University. "We are not against the growing influence of Ukrainian, but the changes should happen gradually."
Some academic fields, such as history, suffer from a dearth of suitable texts and sources in Ukrainian, posing hardships for scholars and students alike. "Many textbooks are written in Russian, and the bulk of historical sources are located in Russia," said Valentin Ivanenko, the head of the History Department at Dniepropetrovsk University. "It's difficult to study now because we do not have good access to sources in Russia."
Alexander Dynges, a history professor at Donetsk University, said that haste in the promotion of Ukrainian in higher education is causing excessive upheaval. "There are many terms that exist only in English, and yet authorities are trying to Ukrainianize all these terms," he said.
Some Russian-language professors expressed concern about possible discrimination in the future based on language. They worry that knowledge of Ukrainian might become a prerequisite, either in fact or in law, for new academic appointments and promotions. They also worry about other forms of discrimination, including better pay for Ukrainian-language professors.

Media

Mass media, given its opinion-shaping power, has been another locus in the language-policy debate. The Russian language predominates in the most powerful forms of media-television and radio. Roughly 70 percent of all broadcasts on television and radio are in Russian, according to Petro Ovcharenko, of the State Committee for Nationalities and Migration. In addition, there are 798 Russian-language periodicals, including newspapers and magazines, printed in Ukraine. "The print run of Russian language publications are higher than Ukrainian publications," said Vasyl Vasylashko, head of the Department of Government Media at the Ministry of Information. Despite the abundance and the accessibility of Russian-language news and information, however, Russian leaders in Ukraine complain about official policy. They say efforts to boost the Ukrainian content of programming provoke widespread discontent in the Russian community.
"The political elite controls mass media and uses it to paint negative pictures of Russians," said Malenkovich. "The media does not promote discussion of the issues. This allows myths and rumors to take root and problems to fester."
Government manipulation of taxation and registration procedures pose severe hardships for private Russian-language mass media outlets, according to some media executives. Registration documents are likely to be rejected if not submitted in Ukrainian, they say, adding that taxation policy can be arbitrarily enforced, and is designed to curtail free speech. Russian broadcasts are more vulnerable to official interference than Ukrainian broadcasts because they tend to be more critical of government policy, they suggest. "You can't televise what you want," said Oleg Yukht, the general director of ATN, a popular Kharkiv-based private television channel. "They [the government] can use licensing and tax inspectors to exert pressure on any television station.
"Investors are also vulnerable," Yukht said. "If authorities do not like what our station is broadcasting, they can send tax inspectors to the offices of our investors, who then exert pressure on us."
Russians in Ukraine are also disgruntled by what they describe as government efforts to limit accessibility to news and information originating from Russia proper. Kornilov, the newspaper editor from Donetsk, says heavy taxation discourage the distribution of Russia-published newspapers in Ukraine. Authorities have moved to limit the broadcast reach of major Russian telecasts, including the Vremya evening news program. "Russian broadcasts about developments in Ukraine are censored by Ukrainian television," said Andrei Kapustin, a city councilor from Kharkiv who is also a local newspaper editor.
Vasylashko and other government officials in Kyiv, citing the statistics, insist that Russian complaints are unfounded. "This cannot be described as a case of discrimination against Russians.… Our country is still passing through the emotional stage.… People are experiencing difficulty in making the transition to a market economy," Vasylashko said. "The major problem is that the state lacks sufficient resources, and therefore some people are going to be disappointed."
Yukht described the language environment at his station as unnecessarily awkward in practice. "It's an absurd situation in which all unofficial business is conducted in Russian and all official business is done in Ukrainian," he said. As for language content, few broadcasters bother to adhere to established regulations. "We should transmit 50 percent of programs, according to our license, in Ukrainian, but we do not," Yukht said. "No one observes the regulations."
He adds that most regional broadcasters, in maintaining mostly Russian-language programming, are responding more to market forces in eastern Ukraine than willfully disregarding the law. When ATN attempted to air Ukrainian-language programming, the station experienced a precipitous decline in ratings, Yukht said. Violating the letter of licensing regulations nevertheless places ATN and other stations in a vulnerable position. "Just because authorities do not enforce the regulations now does not mean that they will not in the future," Yukht said. "They have the legal basis to punish us if they so choose."


Chapter Three
Conditions and Sources of Discontent

Migration Patterns

State-building-related discontent among ethnic Russians thus far has not translated into significant outward migration. Indeed, in the immediate aftermath of Ukraine's successful independence bid, 1991-1992, the country experienced a net inflow of approximately 37,000 individuals, according to Russia's State Committee for Statistics. In subsequent years, amidst economic tumult, roughly 225,000 Russians returned to their titular motherland. But the number of returnees comprised a mere 2 percent of the overall ethnic Russian population in Ukraine. Only Belarus has had a lower ratio of migration, in terms of the percentages of ethnic Russians returning to Russia. Many experts, citing the available statistics, say the primary motivational factors for Russian return has been economic: Given the means, people naturally are attracted to a location with the best prospects for comfortable living standards.
However, especially when examining the former Soviet Union, the temptation should be resisted to attempt derive future trends based on prior events. Developments throughout the former Soviet Union have a proven ability to confound expectations. At present, the scenario of a forced migration crisis in Ukraine would appear to be nothing short of fantastic. Officials in Ukraine dismiss the notion of a large outflow of Russians to Russia. Most experts and observers-both Russians and Ukrainians-concur, saying such a scenario is highly unlikely. "Russians would leave only in the most dire of circumstances," Malenkovich said.
Nevertheless, widespread feelings of resentment are undeniably present in the Russian community in Ukraine. The question that no one really knows the answer to is what is the depth of anger. Popular attitudes, especially those that do not correspond to official positions, often do not receive proper attention from the media, Russian experts suggest. Thus, Russian resentment over state building in Ukraine may be deeper than believed. "The temptation is to think that public opinion is the same as that of the political elite, but there are big differences in the point of view of the elite and of the masses," Malenkovich said. "There are also significant differences depending on the geographic region." No matter how small the chances are for those feelings to snowball, such anger can always serve as a major building bloc for confrontation, which could inspire migration.

Festering Resentments and Fears

A variety of state-building activities, especially implementation of language-related policies, have the potential to dangerously antagonize the Russian community. The sensitivity of the issues requires that the government proceed cautiously with efforts to enhance the state's Ukrainian identity. The Russian community places little trust in officialdom to protect individual rights. "We do not have authorities who command respect," Malenkovich said.
One source of frustration, according to Arnold Guggel, the Kharkiv-based political scientist, has been the silence of the West. "The Western powers should speak out clearly for democratic values," Guggel said. "From my perspective, however, the West maintains a double standard. Western governments speak out about abuses when it is convenient for them to do so, but they remain silent in cases when to speak out might contradict their best geopolitical interests."
Russians are especially rattled by statements made by some Ukrainian government officials on exploring closer cooperation with the North Atlantic Treaty Organization. Such rhetoric, acting in combination with the legislative emphasis on Ukrainian culture, generates concern among ethnic Russians that they may be decoupled from their heritage. "Ukraine's potential membership in NATO could instigate a situation in which Russians would leave the country," Malenkovich said.
The government's policies are all the more galling to Russians because the eastern industrial regions are the main suppliers for the state's coffers. "Kharkiv and other eastern regions pay more taxes, this is an indisputable fact," said Andrei Kapustin, the Kharkiv-based journalist. "The east is more prosperous, and its economy is exploited in the form of taxation to subsidize western Ukraine, and to support the state policies. It should come as no surprise that this is a source of animosity."
Meshcheriakov, Kharkiv's deputy governor, complains that eastern regions are treated unfairly by Ukrainian officials in Kyiv. "We are suspected of being a Fifth Column of Moscow," he said. "This is absurd."
Such resentment left unaddressed could possibly provoke interethnic confrontation. Some Russians say that separatism, especially in Crimea, could grow if Russian grievances are not addressed. Dynges, the professor from Donetsk, said: "Separatism could arise, but it would need several preconditions. One, if Russia manages to solve its economic and political problems faster than Ukraine, and thus offers an enticing alternative, then those who are discontent may be tempted to follow an adventuristic path. Second, such a movement would require a chauvinistic and charismatic leader."
Currently, Russia does not serve as an attractive alternative for Russians in Ukraine. Economically, Russia has been far harder hit by the August 1998 economic crisis than Ukraine. In the realm of politics, Russia also provides a largely unappealing state-building model. "The Chechen War was a very sobering experience for Russians in Ukraine. They are rather happy not to be under Moscow's direct control," said Yaroslav Pylynsky, the Kyiv political analyst. "Russia has proven repeatedly not to be a such a responsible state."
Meanwhile, Ukrainian officials and community leaders are also concerned. They worry that Russian intransigence regarding the reluctance to learn Ukrainian could leave future generations of Russians at a permanent disadvantage. "This is a cultural time bomb," said Oleinik. "Local resistance in eastern regions to learning Ukrainian creates the danger that thousands of people will be left to live as second-class citizens because they are not conversant in the state language."

Conditions in Eastern Regions

Theory often diverges from practice. Thus, debate over language-related policies conducted on the official level is reflected in different manners on the streets of the various urban centers in eastern Ukraine. Each region has certain political, economic, and social specifics that ensure a distinct response to state-building issues. Broadly, there is dissatisfaction associated with the language-related changes since Ukrainian independence. But each region has its own concerns that could influence decisions and outcomes.

Kharkiv

Kharkiv is the largest city in eastern Ukraine, with a population of over 1.6 million. It is located just a few kilometers from the Russian border, and the Russian provincial capital of Belgorod. The city enjoyed renown for having a high concentration of buildings done in the style of Soviet constructivism, erected in the 1920s and 1930s. Much of the distinctive architecture was destroyed during World War II. A center of higher learning, Kharkiv was briefly Ukraine's capital in the aftermath of the Bolshevik revolution, sparking a rivalry with Kyiv that still simmers. Linguistically, Russian dominates on the streets. In economic terms, the city is oriented more towards commerce than industrial production. According to Kapustin, the population is less discontent in Kharkiv than in other more industrially oriented eastern regions because local small-scale entrepreneurial traders have been able to adapt to the new economic environment faster than industrial behemoths.
Policies promoting Ukrainian language and culture have so far not had a noticeable impact on the city. According to Boiko, the Ukrainian NGO activist in Kharkiv, 20 out of the city's 180 schools were primarily Ukrainian language in orientation in 1999. Local mass media is also dominated by Russian, with the only one out of 30 newspapers printed in Ukrainian. Nevertheless, Boiko and others say that Ukrainian is slowly making inroads. For example, before Ukrainian independence there were only two Ukrainian language schools in the city. "Ukrainian and Russian are coexisting naturally and peacefully here," Boiko said.
Alexandra Zub, principal at the city's preeminent Ukrainian-language school, Gymnasium #6, says that tolerance levels among Russians are rising. "I have lived in Kharkiv for 28 years," she said. "For a person to speak Ukrainian here 20 years ago would have meant creating a scandal.… A lot has changed in recent years. There is less resistance to Ukrainian influences. But, as far as the future goes, much will depend on the economy."
Meshcheriakov says the city's traditional orientation towards Moscow is shifting, as a growing number of residents realize that Kremlin officials are not in a position to meet there basic economic needs. "Moscow's influence is already felt less than that of Kyiv," he said. "In many ways Moscow does not understand our problems." Meanwhile, Zub said that Moscow is no longer the primary higher-education destination for Kharkiv's best and brightest young minds. "Patterns have changed. Students are more likely to move on to a Ukrainian-language university. Obtaining a higher degree in Russia no longer has many advantages," Zub said. "If our students want to leave, they want to go to a university in the West, in the United States."
Despite the gradual spread of Ukrainian influences, Kharkiv's primary orientation will continue to be towards the Russian language. "For Kharkiv to become Ukrainian in the linguistic sense is impossible," Kapustin said. Government officials expressed hope that language-related policies would not become of a source of major tension.
Perhaps the most significant potential source of tension in Kharkiv concerns the border with Russia. The city's economic livelihood is intertwined with Russia. Entrepreneurs depend significantly on Russia, either as a source of raw materials or, more often, a market for their products. Some unemployed Kharkiv residents sustained themselves by selling vegetables, grown in small garden plots, across the border. In addition, many residents had relatives in Russia. Since independence, Ukraine and Russia have taken steps to establish international border crossing procedures. At the main road connecting Kharkiv and Belgorod, for example, passing through customs and passport control can now involve delays. Nevertheless, the procedures do not appear to be burdensome.
Any move to tighten border-crossing procedures, arising out of Kyiv's stated desire to draw closer to the European Union, would antagonize Russians in Kharkiv. "People already think the border is not transparent enough," said Vil Bekirov, the Kharkiv University professor. "Placing greater restrictions on the border crossing regime would create a hostile reaction. It should not even receive serious consideration. People should not be put in a position to have to wait five or six hours to cross the border. It should be a process that takes 10 minutes, no more."

Dniepropetrovsk

Dniepropetrovsk is the quintessential industrial-behemoth city in Ukraine. The city of about 1.4 million, located along the Dniepr River, is little more than a drab collection of pre-fabricated apartment blocks surrounded by sprawling factory complexes. During the Soviet era, Dniepropetrovsk was defense-industry oriented, and thus was "closed" to outsiders. Special permission from government authorities was required to visit the city. Under the communist system, the government doted on defense-related industries, and as a result, city residents lived relatively prosperous and well-provisioned lives. The economic collapse that accompanied independence wrought havoc in Dniepropetrovsk, idling factories and leading to widespread de facto unemployment. Many of those who managed to keep their state-sector jobs suffered significant delays in receiving their salaries. Conversely, the transformation from communism to capitalism has allowed some local entrepreneurs to amass sizeable fortunes, and the city center feature a number of fashionable boutiques and stores that cater to the new, still-emerging elite, as well as to the criminal class.
In many respects, the closed-city legacy lingers, as Dniepropetrovsk seems to cling to its Soviet trappings. For example, the streets retain their Communist-inspired names. The city's main boulevard is named for Karl Marx. Attitudes among residents are similarly retrograde. Many recall the Soviet era with nostalgia and yearn for some sort of return to the old days. Most are quick to recognize that it would be impossible to reconstitute the former Soviet Union, but they nonetheless hope for a closer relationship with Russia. "Without a doubt there are strong feelings for some type of reunification with Russia," said Valentin Ivanenko, the head of the Language Department at Dniepropetrovsk State University. "Many people here voted for the left - including the Communists - and this can be viewed as a vote for the restoration of close relations with Russia." As in all major cities in eastern Ukraine, Dniepropetrovsk is dominated by the Russian language. But the yearning for closer ties with Russia is driven more by economics than by cultural affinities.
The experience of the Dniepro Tire Factory sheds light on the forces at work that push struggling industries towards Russia. The factory, according to Technical Director Vladimir Kovalenko, employs 7,200 workers in three shifts. Twenty-six types of tires produced by the factory are exported to 36 countries, with a full 60 percent going to Russia. The complex could be regarded as an exception to the economic rule in Ukraine, as it has never shut down on account of financial difficulties and it has managed to pay employees on time. Salaries, for managers and line workers alike, are modest, under $100 per month. "We are one of the better of factories," Kovalenko said.
Still, keeping the factory running presents daunting problems. There are chronic shortages of energy and raw materials. In addition, deal-making is hindered by a severe shortage of cash, among buyers and suppliers alike. "We must conduct business on a barter basis, which cannot be considered a civilized form of conducting economic relations," Kovalenko said.
Language-related legislation, Kovalenko adds, merely complicates the already difficult job of keeping the assembly lines running. Few employees, including managers, can speak Ukrainian. "I was born and educated in Russia," said Chief Technologist Yegeny Levid. "I've worked here for 38 years, but do not know Ukrainian. No one at the factory speaks Ukrainian among themselves. All internal documents are written in Russian. If we followed the law to the letter, we'd have big problems."
Kovalenko added: "Under the current conditions, we should pay all our attention to reviving the economy. If we succeed in this, then everything else will follow. The politicians, with their legislation, only risk confusing things. Legislation should be aimed at facilitating free trade."
Economic revival and close ties with Russia are synonymous in the eyes of the tire factory managers. "Industry was intertwined in the Soviet Union.… One would have to possess enormous resources to rebuild from zero, and we do not have such resources," Kovalenko said. "Russia is where the raw materials are. The closer the ties with Russia, the better the chances for our economic revival."
Regarding the agricultural sector, dreadful conditions on most farms in the Dniepropetrovsk Region reflect the general situation throughout eastern Ukraine. Language-related legislation in rural regions is not a source of much concern. Indeed, it is almost a nonissue. Most rural residents in eastern Ukraine speak a local patois, Ukrainian heavily influenced by Russian.
Like those in the industrial sector, agricultural workers are struggling to overcome the effects of economic collapse. For example, at the Kirovskye Farm outside Dniepropetrovsk, Director Oleksandr Misyuk expressed a desire for closer relations with Russia. "Customs barriers for our products make it nearly impossible for us to survive," Misyuk said. The farm's 500 workers live in dire conditions, having not received their state salaries in a year and a half. The farm subsists on barter arrangements. For example, in order to obtain fuel, the farm trades sunflower seeds. A ton of gas costs the farm one-and-a-half tons of sunflower seeds, Misyuk says.

Donetsk

Located in the southeast corner of the country, Donetsk is a region largely defined by coal. The Donetsk Basin, or Donbas, was a primary energy source for the early industrial growth of the Russian empire and later the Soviet Union. However, the mining industry has been hard hit by the collapse of the Soviet Union. Coal production in the Donbas fell from 165 million tons in 1990 to 70 million tons in 1996, according to figures in a study of the Donbas, entitled The Future of Old Industrial Regions, published in 1998 by the Foundation for Economic Education in Poland. A significant number of mines closed, and those that remain open can not operate efficiently. But the sector at the same time lacked funds for retooling. Virtually all of the operating mines are more than 50 years old. Exacerbating difficulties, enterprise managers and government officials alike have been slow to promote economic restructuring. As a result, living conditions in Donetsk are among the most severe in all of Ukraine. Large numbers are unemployed, and approximately two-thirds of those still on company payrolls do not receive their salaries on time.
In its cultural orientation, Donetsk is solidly Russian, even though census data indicates that roughly half the regional population is ethnic Ukrainian. Correspondingly, the region orients itself towards Moscow, says Dmitry Kornilov, the local newspaper editor. "In Donetsk, many people still think informally that Moscow is at the center of the empire," he said. Economic hardship appeared to fuel feelings of nostalgia and thus solidify established cultural identification.
Residents offer stiff resistance to perceived Ukrainianization initiatives, especially in the spheres of education and the media. "Donetsk is different because it is more economically depressed than other regions and because it has a monolithic Russian character," said Alexander Basilyuk, the leader of the Slavic Party. "The idea that that the people - Russians and Ukrainians - are united is a concept that has deep roots here. Ukrainiazation is going on, but we will continue to resist."
Statistics on education support the notion of Donetsk as a bastion of resistance. Only 5 percent of the local grade-school students in the region study in Ukrainian-language institutions. In 1989, the year of the last Soviet census, about 2 percent of students studied in Ukrainian schools, according to Oleinik, the local NGO activist.
At the same time, interest in reunification with Russia is muted. "The Donbas miners see that the fate of miners in the Kuzbas region of Russia is worse than their own. Thus they feel it is better to remain part of an independent Ukraine,' said Yaroslav Pylynskyj, the Kyiv political scientist.
On top of economic factors, demographic changes foster feelings of insecurity that could, in turn, impact cultural attitudes. According to Dynges, the Donetsk State University professor, the region has experienced a large influx of Russian-speaking Muslims, including Chechens and Meskhetian Turks, a formerly deported people who are seeking rehabilitation and the right to return to their traditional homeland in Georgia. (For background information see the Forced Migration Projects special report, Meskhetian Turks: Solutions and Human Security). At the same time, the local Slavic population has been declining at an annual rate of 1.1 percent, Dynges said. By 2010, Muslims could comprise a significant share of the regional population, a demographic development that could potentially feed xenophobic feelings among the region's ethnic Russians. "They formed the Islamic Party of Ukraine in 1997," Dynges said, "and already they are carrying out propaganda activities."

Crimea

An extensive description of political, social, and economic conditions on the Crimean peninsula is contained in the Forced Migration Projects special report Crimean Tatars: Repatriation and Conflict Prevention. Suffice it to say that Crimea has been a center of separatism since Ukrainian independence. Social tension is present, especially between Crimean Tatars and Russians. Ukrainian influence, meanwhile, is negligible. Apart from the blue and gold flags flying atop government buildings, there are few signs of Ukrainian governmental authority or cultural influence.
Ethnic Russians comprise a large majority on the peninsula, which was transferred from Russian to Ukrainian jurisdiction in 1954. This detail, combined with the fact that many Russians in Crimea are essentially immigrants who arrived from other parts of the Soviet Union in the aftermath of World War II, means the peninsula retains a strong orientation towards Russia. Indeed, many residents of Crimea, as well as large numbers in Russia proper, are loath to accept Ukraine's control over the peninsula. Nostalgia for the Soviet Union is also widespread.
"I have nothing against Ukrainians, as we are all Slavs. But Crimea should be a part of Russia, actually we should be part of a union in which the two people [Russians and Ukrainians] can embrace again," said Lydia Mikhailova, a pensioner in Sevastopol.
Nevertheless, according to Volodymyr Prytula, a Crimea-based journalist, separatist sentiment is gradually diminishing. Concurrently, acceptance of Ukrainian independence is slowly growing. "The peak has passed as far as separatism goes. Many are disappointed and feel abandoned by Russia," Prytula said. "If before an absolute majority supported the incorporation of Crimea into Russia, now they would favor merely a confederation of the two states."
Wider recognition of Ukrainian statehood does not necessarily translate into greater openness towards Ukrainian cultural influences, however. For example, there is only one Ukrainian-language school in Crimea, located in Simferopol. The school, which opened in 1997, educates 420 students. According to Natalia Rudenko, the school's director, local officials were not cooperative during the start-up phase, and continue to resist efforts to expand Ukrainian-language education. "Authorities did not do much to help us. They claimed that there was no interest in Ukrainian-language education, but we have proven them to be wrong. Yet they do little to help us," Rudenko said.


Chapter Four
Recommendations: A Preventative Approach

In considering the potential for forced migration, Ukraine can be regarded as a cipher. No one can predict with any degree of certainty the outcome of existing state-building dilemmas. Several options remain open to policy actors, and the path taken will naturally influence efforts to forge a cohesive Ukrainian society comprising Ukrainians, Russians, and other nationalities. All sides have legitimate concerns that must be balanced.
There exists an inherent contradiction in the state-building process involving the country's 11 million ethnic Russians. The overwhelming majority appears to be profoundly dissatisfied with the direction that the country has taken in the years since independence, specifically regarding language policies. Yet, despite perceptions of discrimination, ethnic Russians have given no indication that they are preparing to leave in large numbers. Nevertheless, even the perception of exclusionary policies is fraught with potential harmful consequences. Efforts should be undertaken immediately to provide assurances that state building in the future will adhere to an inclusive approach.
Of course, the Ukrainian government bears the greatest burden for establishing a suitable framework for dialogue and, ultimately, creating the proper conditions for the development of civil society. Authorities must ensure that legislation designed to promote the revival of the Ukrainian language and cultural traditions does not cause undue hardships for the country's ethnic minorities, especially ethnic Russians who have long-established roots in the eastern region of the country. Most importantly, the government should take steps to foster the rule of law. Overcoming the Soviet legacy of corruption and misrule is understandably difficult for the governments in the region, including Ukraine. Nevertheless, the state must demonstrate a willingness to remove arbitrariness from state building.
Basic responsibility for maintaining stability in the state-building process rests with national authorities. However, the international community can play a vital role in assisting Ukraine, providing resources and capacity-building assistance. In addition, NGOs, both local and international, can play an important implementing role in programs designed to encourage dialogue and build trust.
As for specific recommendations:

An Interregional Exchange Program

At present, communication among those living in the western and eastern regions of Ukraine is limited. Mass media does little to promote an active civic discussion on state-building issues. The dearth of dialogue opens the way for misperception and prejudice to fill the communication void. Personal interaction, brought about by small-scale educational and other exchange programs, could help reduce existing tension and stimulate constructive discussion of the issues. Local NGOs would be ideally suited to plan and implement exchanges. One possible example might be an exchange of teachers among schools in eastern and western Ukraine. A student exchange program could also be devised.

Teacher Training

According to several experts, Ukraine suffers a shortage of instructors qualified to teach Ukrainian as a foreign language. Inadequate instruction can enhance frustration and discourage the learning of Ukrainian, especially in eastern regions of the country. Efforts should be undertaken to expand access to Ukrainian-language instruction. At present, instruction is largely limited to those of school age. Programs should be developed that encourage working-age and retired Russian speakers to study Ukrainian. One obvious possibility would be to utilize schools across the country for continuing education classes in the evening. Special attention should be paid to minimizing the potential financial burdens that can be associated with language learning, including not only the cost of instruction but also related materials, such as textbooks. Thus, national and local government agencies, as well as international organizations, should be prepared to substantially subsidize adult education efforts. The best practices of the United Nations Development Program's language instruction programs in the Baltic states could be useful in devising a Ukrainian-language instruction program for Russian speakers in Ukraine.

Demographic Research

Relating to Language Policy. Accurate and reliable information could assist policy actors in addressing the societal transformation in Ukraine. "There are no precise figures," said Tatyana Klinchenko of the Institute for Political and Sociological Studies. "Until we can analyze new population data, we can not say for sure what are the hopes and the intentions of the population." Research data could be especially useful in the educational sphere. Little research has been done in the sphere of language instruction. "No one knows for sure how many Russians desire to maintain Russian as the language of instruction for their children, and how many would prefer that their children study in Ukrainian schools," said Maria Oleinik, the NGO activist in Donetsk.

NGO Capacity Building

In aiming to fulfill potential in program implementation, local NGOs could benefit from capacity building, provided by international organizations and other NGOs. Specifically, international organizations could provide technical advice and support to the Ukrainian government in a review of the country's legislation concerning the taxation and registration of local NGOs. Laws should be modified, when appropriate, to stimulate NGO development, as a vibrant third sector could play an important role in promoting inclusive policies. Capacity building should not be limited to the provision of resources, whether in the form of grants or equipment. Garnering trust will be an important aspect to the success of NGO involvement in program implementation. Thus, emphasis should also be placed on training that promotes transparency and accountability in NGO activity. To this end, a fund could be established that aims to promote good governance among NGOs.

Promoting Uniform Legislation Implementation

A source of discontent is found in the arbitrary application of language policy. In addition, resentment is fueled by the perceptions of governmental abuse of the taxation system to favor its supporters and to punish its opponents. Immediate steps should be undertaken to build public trust in state institutions. Initiatives could include:
oThe establishment by the Ukrainian government of an independent ombudsman, empowered with the ability to investigate claims of discrimination made by ethnic minorities, including Russians. An ombudsmen that not only identifies arbitrary practices, but also provides mechanisms for the resolution of differences, could reassure Russian speakers that the Ukrainian government is committed to building an inclusive state.
oA legal aid initiative that provides advice and assistance to those who perceive discrimination. Such an initiative could fill an important gap in promoting individual rights in Ukraine. At present, unbiased information about legislation is not as accessible to citizens as it could be. By providing accurate information about rights and obligations, as well as possible recourses in cases of discrimination, an aid initiative could build confidence among the Russian speaking population about the state's legal framework for the resolution of complaints.
oAn advocacy initiative. NGOs should be encouraged to engage in public affairs advocacy activities in the spheres of language and education. Acting in concert with a legal aid endeavor, an advocacy initiative could help publicize current policies and statutes, thereby allowing citizens to make more informed decisions regarding their rights.

Government Capacity Building

Wider respect for state institutions would enhance the chances that the Ukrainian and Russian communities could engage in substantive dialogue, resolving their differences in a mutually satisfactory manner. At present, however, the government is by all accounts riddled with corruption. The international community, in particular donor governments, can help foster greater respect for state institutions by working with the Ukrainian government to provide professional training. Such training should be aimed at standardizing the conduct of the state's bureaucratic machinery.

Historical Scholarship

In some ways, the Ukrainian and Russian communities in Ukraine have yet to reconcile over events connected with the formation of the Soviet Union, between 1918 and 1922, and relating to World War II. Lingering bitterness over past events clouds the ability to make future compromises. Objective evaluations of history could help erase stereotypical views. However, under present day economic conditions, it is difficult for scholars to pursue independent research. "Historical scholarship should always help improve conditions because it can produce dialogue. But right now it hurts," said Valery Meshcheriakov, the deputy governor of Kharkiv. "You cannot find an objective historian in Ukraine right now because scholars cannot live independently. Scholars are prone to write what those who pay them want." International actors in particular could promote independent analysis that stimulates information exchanges and dialogue.


Interview List

Aleksyeyev, Volodimyr, Vice-Chairman, Freedom of Speech and Information Committee, Supreme Rada of Ukraine, Kyiv.
Bakirov, Vil, Professor, PhD in Sociology, Academician at Ukraine Academy of Political Sciences, Kharkiv.
Basilyuk, Aleksandr, Chairman of Slavic Party, Head of Congress of Russian Organizations in Ukraine, Donetsk.
Boiko, Viktor, Writer, Deputy Chairman of Ukrainian Fund of Culture in Kharkiv Oblast, Kharkiv.
Dynges, Alexander, Deputy Dean, Department of History, Donetsk State University.
Emirov, Ayder, Director of Gasprinsky Crimean Tatars Library, Simferopol.
Gubaretz, Vasil', Deputy Chief, Head Office Coordinating State Mass Media, Information Ministry of Ukraine.
Ivanenko, Valentin, Professor, Head of Russian History Department, Dniepropetrovsk State University.
Ivaschenko, Katherine, Head of the Sociological Service, Center for Political Studies, Donetsk.
Klinchenko, Tatyana, Senior Fellow Researcher, Institute for Political and Ethnic Studies, Academy of Sciences of Ukraine, Kyiv.
Kornilov, Dmitry, Editor of Political News Department, "Donetsky Kriazh" newspaper, Donetsk.
Kovalenko, Vladimir, Technical Director, Dniepro Tire Factory, Dnipropetrovsk.
Mesheriakov, Valery, Vice-Chairman, Kharkiv Regional Administration, Kharkiv.
Ognevjuk, Victor, Head of Department of Secondary Education, Ministry of Education of Ukraine.
Ostash, Ihor, Committee for Foreign Affairs, Deputy of Parliament of Ukraine, Kyiv.
Ovcharenko, Petro, Head of Department for Ethnic & National Processes and National Minorities, State Committee of Ukraine for Nationalities and Migration, Kyiv.
Ozenbashly, Meriem, Head of Department of Culture, Parliament (Medzhlis) of Crimean Tatars, Simferopol.
Pilynskiy, Leonid, Chairman of Crimean Human Rights Center, Crimean Regional Committee Helsinki Citizens Assembly, Simferopol.
Popok, Andriy, Head of Department of Ukrainian Diaspora, State Committee of Ukraine for Nationalities and Minorities, Kyiv.
Prytula, Volodymyr, Radio Liberty correspondent, Simferopol.
Pylynsky, Yaroslav, Director of Research Department, Pylyp Orlyk Institute for Democracy, Kyiv.
Rykova, Nina, Editor of Political News Department, "Kyivskiye Vedomosti" newspaper.
Sarkanich, Vasil', Engineer, Honored Teacher of Professional and Technical Training of Ukraine.
Telychenko, Valentina, Director for Institutional Development, Pylyp Orlyk Institute for Democracy, Kyiv.
Todorov, Igor, Professor, International Relations and Foreign Policy Department, Donetsk State University, Donetsk.
Vasylashko, Vasyl', Chief of Department of Government Media, Ministry of Information of Ukraine, Kyiv.
Yukht, Oleg, General Director, ATN TV news agency, Kharkiv.


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